I-United States ivimbela ukungeniswa kotshwala, izithuthuthu nemikhiqizo yobisi yaseCanada

Okushintshile

Ngokombiko we-The Citizen Tanzania, i-United States ishicilele ukuvinjelwa kokungeniswa kwezigaba ezibanzi zotshwala, izithuthuthu nemikhiqizo yobisi yaseCanada, okuzoqala ukusebenza ngoSepthemba 29. Lezi zinyathelo zilandela amanani entela aseCanada okuphindisela emikhiqizweni yase-U.S., futhi zengeza ukuvinjelwa okuphelele phezu kwamanani entela ase-U.S. angaphambilini angu-50% emikhiqizweni yaseCanada ebiza cishe u-$20 billion; ezinye izinhlobo zikashizi manje zibhekene nentela engu-50%, kanti ukwenyuswa okusongelwayo kwentela yezimoto zaseCanada kusuka ku-25% kuya ku-50% ngoJanuwari 1 kusengenzeka.

Kungani lokhu kubalulekile

Lena yinkinga ochungechungeni lokuhlinzekwa efihlwe ilebula lebhodlela. Umsabalalisi othengisa i-whisky yaseCanada, umthengisi ogcina izithuthuthu zaseCanada, noma ibhizinisi lokudla elisebenzisa izinto zobisi ezithintekayo kungase kudingeke maduze lithole imikhiqizo ezongena esikhundleni, lilungise ama-oda futhi lichazele amakhasimende ukungatholakali kweminye imigqa yemikhiqizo.

Ushintsho olubalulekile lusuka ekubeni yindleko eyengeziwe luye ekuvinjweni kokufinyelela emakethe. Amanani entela angamuncwa, abiwe noma aphikiswe esivumelwaneni. Ukuvinjelwa kokungeniswa kwempahla kushiya isikhala esincane sokulungisa izinto ngezibalo zetafula lokubala. Uma lezi zinyathelo ziqala ukusebenza, abahlinzeki abangekho ochungechungeni lwaseCanada bathola ithuba lokuhlangabezana nesidingo semikhiqizo ezongena esikhundleni, kuyilapho abangenisi abakhona belahlekelwa amandla okuxoxisana futhi abathumeli bangaphandle baseCanada kufanele baqondise kabusha isitokwe noma banciphise ukuthunyelwa okuya e-U.S.

Umbono wethu (ukuqagela okunolwazi): ingcindezi esheshayo izowela ezinhlobonhlobo zemikhiqizo nasezinqumweni zokuthenga ngaphambi kokuba ifinyelele esu elibanzi lenkampani. Uma imikhiqizo ezongena esikhundleni ithatha isikhathi eside ukuyithola noma ifika ngemibandela engemihle, izinhlobonhlobo zemikhiqizo zingancipha futhi imigomo yezentengiselwano ingashintsha. Isitokwe esanele, ukushintsha okulula, noma indlela ehlukile okuvunyelwene ngayo kunganciphisa lowo mthelela.

Ukuqhathanisa nomlando

Ekulandiseni kwe-AP ngeSmoot-Hawley, i-United States yenyusa amanani entela ngo-1930, kwase kuphindisela abalingani bayo bezohwebo. Ukufana kwesakhiwo kusekutheni umkhawulo owodwa uveza izinyathelo zokuphindisela, zona ezinciphisa ukufinyelela emakethe nhlangothi zombili.

Umehluko ubalulekile. I-Smoot-Hawley kwakuyisigameko esibanzi, samazwe amaningi, samanani entela ngesikhathi senkinga yezezimali; lena iyingxabano eqondiswe ngqo phakathi kwe-U.S. neCanada ebandakanya izinhlelo zesimanje zezohwebo nokuvinjelwa okuphelele. Noma kunjalo, umlando we-Federal Reserve uthi izimpi zamanani entela zazingakhiqizi kakhulu futhi zajulisa zaphinde zelula i-Depression. Lokho akubikezeli ukuncipha okufanayo manje. Kuphakamisa ukubheka ukuthi imikhawulo ebekwe emikhiqizweni ethile igcina lapho yini noma iqala ukuhlela kabusha ibhizinisi eliwela imingcele ngendlela ebanzi.

Indlela imiphumela engasabalala ngayo

Abathumeli bangaphandle baseCanada bemikhiqizo ethintekayo babhekana nomthelela wokuqala lapho ukufinyelela e-U.S. kuvalwa ngoSepthemba 29. Abasabalalisi babo base-U.S. bangase bafune eminye imigqa yemikhiqizo, bese abathengisi noma amabhizinisi ezokuvakasha aphethe leyo mikhiqizo engashintsha izinhlobonhlobo zawo njengoba izinkontileka nezitokwe zishintshana.

Lolo chungechunge lungaphazamiseka uma abasabalalisi benesitokwe esanele, bekwazi ukushintsha imikhiqizo ngaphandle kokuphazamiseka okukhulu, noma uma uJamieson Greer noDominic LeBlanc befinyelela esivumelwaneni esihlukile ngaphambi komnqamulajuqu. Uma kungenzeki, ingxabano ifinyelela ngale kwezinkampani ezingashiwongo ndawo esimemezelweni: abathengi nabathengisi kulo lonke uchungechunge lwemikhiqizo yase-U.S. bazobe benza izinqumo zokuthenga ezehlukile.

Kwezinye izindaba esizibikile

Ukubika kwethu kwangaphambilini, cishe ezinsukwini ezimbili ezedlule, bekukhuluma ngokuthi amaqembu ezokuvakasha ase-U.S. afuna ukubuyisa izivakashi zaseCanada. Impi yezohwebo enokungezwani ayisizi. Leyo ndaba ibiphathelene nemizamo yokuheha izivakashi zaseCanada; lena imayelana nokuhwebelana ngezimpahla. Indaba efanayo ukwanda kokungezwani okuwela imingcele, manje okunemikhawulo ecacile ehlola ukuthi ukungqubuzana kwezentengiselwano kudlulela yini kakhulu ekuhambeni nasezinqumweni zabathengi.

Ukuhlolwa komthelela

• Abathumeli bangaphandle botshwala, izithuthuthu nemikhiqizo yobisi baseCanada: Balahlekelwa ukufinyelela emakethe yase-U.S. ngemikhiqizo ethintekayo emasontweni ambalwa, okubaphoqa ukuba baqondise kabusha impahla, baxoxisane kabusha noma banciphise ukuthunyelwa.
• Abangenisi, abasabalalisi nabathengisi base-U.S.: Babhekana nokuphazamiseka kwezinhlelo zokuhlinzekwa futhi bangase babe nesidingo esiphuthumayo, kodwa hhayi ngempela amandla, ekutholeni imikhiqizo ezovala isikhala.
• Abahlinzeki bemikhiqizo engena esikhundleni abangeyona eyaseCanada: Bangancintisana ngesidingo uma abathengi beshintsha imikhiqizo evinjelwe esikhundleni sokuyeka ukuthenga.
• Amabhizinisi ezimoto aseNyakatho Melika anokuthinteka eCanada: Abhekana nobungozi obuhlukile bokuhlela uma i-United States inyusa intela yezimoto zaseCanada ibe ngu-50% ngoJanuwari 1.

Izimo ezingase zenzeke

Okungenzeka kakhulu: Uma ukuvinjelwa kuqala ukusebenza ngoSepthemba 29 futhi izingxoxo zingavezi isivumelwano esihlukile, abathumeli bangaphandle nabasabalalisi bazoqala ukuqondisa kabusha ukuthunyelwa nokushintsha imigqa yemikhiqizo emasontweni alandelayo. Lesi yisimo esiyisisekelo ngoba izinyathelo zishicileliwe ngesikhathi izikhulu zisaxoxa, zingakamemezeli isivumelwano. Ukuqhubeka kokuvinjelwa, ukususwa kwemigqa yaseCanada kanye nezimemezelo zemikhiqizo engena esikhundleni kungakuqinisa; ukuhoxiswa noma ukuncishiswa okukhulu kokuvinjelwa kungakuguqula.

Okuhle: Uma uGreer noLeBlanc beguqula izingxoxo zabo zibe yisivumelwano ngaphambi kukaSepthemba 29, imikhawulo ingancishiswa noma ithathelwe indawo, kugcinwe izindlela eziningi ezikhona zokusabalalisa. Isinyathelo se-White House esishintshiwe noma esimisiwe, kanye nokuphindisela okushintshiwe kweCanada, kungabonisa ukuthi ukuhlelwa kabusha kochungechunge lokuhlinzekwa kungahlala kungokwesikhashana.

Okubi: Uma ukuphindisela kuqhubeka, izingxoxo zehluleka futhi i-United States iqhubeka nokwenyusa intela yezimoto ngoJanuwari 1, izinkampani ezikhiqiza, ezithenga noma ezithengisa eCanada zingase zihlele kabusha imisebenzi ewela imingcele. Ezinye izigaba ezivinjelwe kanye nezinguquko ezimenyezelwe zokuthenga noma zokukhiqiza kungabonisa ukuthi ingxabano isukile ekuphazamisekeni komkhiqizo yaya emkhawulweni wokusebenza ohlala isikhathi eside.

Okufanele kubhekwe ngokulandelayo

• Ukuthi i-White House ikusebenzisa yini ukuvinjelwa kwangoSepthemba 29 kungashintshiwe.
• Ukuthi uGreer noLeBlanc bamemezela yini indlela ehlukile ethinta ukuvinjelwa, amanani entela okuphindisela aseCanada, noma kokubili.
• Ukuthi intela yezimoto zaseCanada esongelwayo iyakhuphuka yini isuka ku-25% iye ku-50% ngoJanuwari 1, 2027.