Trump Says Further US Attacks on Iran Are Highly Unlikely

What changed

Donald Trump said renewed US attacks on Iran are “highly unlikely,” while warning that American forces remain “locked and loaded” if circumstances change. He said Iran is “militarily effectively over” and that negotiations have positive momentum after recent US strikes, pressure from Gulf allies, and Republican losses in last week’s midterm elections.

Qatar’s prime minister said he held positive discussions with Trump and Vice-President JD Vance about reaching a deal and bringing peace to the region.

Why it matters

This is de-escalation with the safety catch still on. Washington is keeping the current military posture while trying to prevent further Iranian attacks on Gulf allies, including Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. The naval blockade and Iranian strikes have already affected regional security and air travel.

Trump’s language also leaves the conflict politically unfinished. He declined to declare the war over because Gulf allies could still face Iranian aggression. Iranian officials have previously questioned his claims about resolving the conflict, so negotiations still have to produce something more durable than a pause.

The pressure is now spreading into Washington. Republican Congressman Thomas Massie is seeking a House vote to impeach Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth over the war. Republicans control Congress until January, making success unlikely for now, while Democrats have said they would be willing to pursue impeachment once they control both chambers.