Ingxabano yase-US ne-Iran eHormuz isongela amanzi aseGulf njengoba imikhumbi kawoyela ilinde

Okushintshile

Ngokwemibiko ye-Al Jazeera, amabutho ase-US nawase-Iran andise ukuhlasela imikhumbi kawoyela eduze kweStrait of Hormuz. Kubikwa ukuthi i-US ishaye imikhumbi kawoyela yase-Iran emihlanu ngoSepthemba 8, ngemva kokushaya eminye emithathu ezinsukwini ezintathu ngaphambili; i-Iran ithe iqondise imikhumbi emithathu eStrait neminye imikhumbi emithathu exhumene ne-US kwenye indawo. Kusukela ngoSepthemba 7, imikhumbi kawoyela engu-42 yayilinde ukuwela, okubandakanya engu-18 enomthamo ohlanganisiwe olinganiselwa ku-1.76 million cubic metres, okungamabharele kawoyela nemikhiqizo kaphethiloli acishe abe yi-11.1 million.

Kungani lokhu kubalulekile

IHormuz iya ngokuya ifana nendawo yokupaka kunokuba ibe umzila wemikhumbi, kanti imithwalo ekuyo ibiza kakhulu futhi ivutha kalula. Ingozi esheshayo ayigcini ngokubambezeleka kukawoyela. Umkhumbi kawoyela olimele ungaguqula ukungqubuzana kwezempi kube inkinga yasogwini, njengoba imisinga nomoya kungathwala uwoyela kuyiwe ezindaweni zokudoba, ogwini nasezinhlelweni zemvelo zasolwandle.

Uchungechunge lwezehlakalo lucacile: imikhumbi ilinda isikhathi eside ngoba ukuwela kubonakala kuyingozi; ukuminyana kwemikhumbi kudala izinhloso eziningi ezisengcupheni; ukuhlaselwa kanzima komkhumbi ogcwele kungase kususe le nkinga ekuphazamisekeni kokuwela kuyiyise ekungcolisweni nasekuhlinzekweni okulinganiselwe. Nabathengi bakaphethiloli base-US bayathinteka. Imibiko yangaphambili ixhumanise impi yase-Iran nezinkinga zokucwenga uwoyela namanani kaphethiloli ase-US aqopha umlando; ukuphazamiseka okwengeziwe kokuhanjiswa kukawoyela olwandle kungenezela omunye umgoqo.

Umbono wethu (ukuqagela okunolwazi): emasontweni azayo, umphumela wesikhathi esiseduze okungenzeka kakhulu uwukuthi isithiyo siqhubeke, kunokuba kube nokuchitheka kukawoyela okuyinhlekelele okuqinisekisiwe. Umugqa wemikhumbi elindile usuvele ukhona, kanti akukabikwa ukucwila okukhulu. Lokho kungashintsha ngokushesha uma imikhumbi yezentengiselwano iqhubeka iqondiswa.

Imiphumela ingasabalala kanjani

Ukuhlasela eduze kweHormuz kungagcina abaqhubi bemikhumbi bebambezela noma benciphisa ijubane lohambo. Umbiko usuvele uchaza imikhumbi kawoyela engu-42 elinde ukuwela namakhulu eminye elindile noma ehamba kancane esifundeni esibanzi saseGulf.

Uma ukuhlasela kuqhubeka futhi umkhumbi othwele uwoyela ulimala kabi noma ucwila, umthwalo ophumile ungahamba udlule indawo yokuhlaselwa. Izindawo zokudoba nemiphakathi yasogwini zingase zibhekane nezindleko ezilandela lesi sigameko: amanzi angcolile, umsebenzi ophazamisekile nenkinga yokuhlanza engayihloniphi imingcele yasolwandle. Lolo chungechunge luba buthaka uma imikhumbi idlula ngokuphepha, ukulawulwa komonakalo kuvimbela ukuphuma okukhulu, noma imisinga ingathwali uwoyela omningi iye ogwini olubucayi.

Ukuhlolwa komthelela

• Abaqhubi bemikhumbi kawoyela yezentengiselwano: ukuchayeka ngokushesha: Ukuwela sekuyingozi kakhulu, okunikeza abaqhubi isizathu esiqinile sokugcina imikhumbi imile noma sokushintsha isikhathi sohambo.
• Ezokudoba zaseGulf nezinhlelo zemvelo zasolwandle: ukuchayeka emasontweni: Uma umthwalo ungena emanzini, uwoyela ungasabalala kakhulu udlule indawo yesigameko, usabise amanzi asogwini nempilo yasolwandle.
• Abathengi bakaphethiloli base-US: ukuchayeka emasontweni: Uma ukuphazamiseka kokuhanjiswa ngemikhumbi kuqhubeka, kungandisa ingcindezi yokuhlinzekwa esivele ihlotshaniswa nempi yase-Iran nezinkinga zokucwenga uwoyela.

Izimo ezingase zenzeke

Okungenzeka kakhulu

Uma izinsongo ziqhubeka ziyingozi ngempela kodwa kungekho mkhumbi ogcwele othola ukuhlaselwa okuyinhlekelele noma ocwilayo, abaqhubi bazoqhubeka begcina imikhumbi ilindile noma ihamba kancane emasontweni azayo. Lokho kugcina isithiyo sikhona ngaphandle kokukhiqiza ukukhishwa kukawoyela okukhulu okwamanje. Umugqa ozinzile noma okhulayo, ukuhamba kancane kwemikhumbi esifundeni nokunye ukuhlasela ngaphandle kokuchitheka okuqinisekisiwe kungasekela le ndlela; umugqa onciphayo noma ukuchitheka okukhulu okuqinisekisiwe kungayiphikisa.

Okungcono

Uma ukuhlasela imikhumbi yezentengiselwano kuyeka futhi imikhumbi kawoyela elindile ikwazi ukuwela eHormuz ngokuphepha, ukuwela kungase kubuyele esimweni esijwayelekile ezinsukwini kuya emasontweni. Isibalo semikhumbi esiqoqene nesichayeke engozini singancipha, sinciphise ingozi esheshayo kwezemvelo. Umugqa owehlayo, ukungabikho kokunye ukuhlaselwa kwemikhumbi kawoyela nokushesha kwethrafikhi yaseGulf kungakhomba kulokho.

Okubi kakhulu

Uma ukuhlasela kuqhubeka futhi umkhumbi othwele uwoyela noma imikhiqizo kaphethiloli ulimala kabi ngokwanele ukuba ukhiphe umthwalo, le nkinga ingaphenduka isimo esiphuthumayo sokuchitheka kukawoyela nokungcoliswa kogu phakathi namasonto. Lokho kungabeka ezokudoba nezinhlelo zemvelo ezibuthaka ngqo engozini, sekudlule isikhathi eside umkhumbi uqobo uyekile ukuhamba. Umkhumbi ogcwele oshayo noma ocwilayo, imisebenzi yokunqanda ukusabalala, noma ukungcoliswa kogu okubikiwe kungabonisa le ndlela.

Okufanele kubhekwe ngokulandelayo

• Isibalo se-MarineTraffic semikhumbi kawoyela elinde ukuwela eHormuz, siqhathaniswa nengu-42 ebikwe ngoSepthemba 7.
• Okunye ukuhlasela okubikiwe kwemikhumbi kawoyela yezentengiselwano noma eminye imikhumbi.
• Noma yimuphi umlilo oqinisekisiwe emkhunjini kawoyela, ukucwila, ukulahleka komthwalo noma impendulo ekukhishweni kukawoyela.