UTrump utshela uPutin ukuthi ufuna impi yase-Ukraine iphele ngokushesha

Okushintshile

Ngokombiko we-France 24, iKremlin ithi uDonald Trump utshele uVladimir Putin ocingweni oluthathe ihora ngoLwesibili ukuthi ufuna impi yase-Ukraine iphele ngokushesha. Umsizi weKremlin uYuri Ushakov uthe uPutin uwusekele lowo mqondo, ngemva kokuba izithunywa zaseMelika uSteve Witkoff noJared Kushner bevakashele eMoscow naseKyiv ngempelasonto; akumenyezelwanga ukumiswa kwempi, uhlelo lwesikhathi noma imigomo yokufeza isivumelwano.

Kungani lokhu kubalulekile

Ucingo lwabongameli lungadala ingcindezi yokuthi kube nenqubekela phambili, kodwa lulodwa alukwazi ukumisa umcibisholo, luhlukanise amabutho noma luxazulule imigomo iRussia ne-Ukraine abasaphikisana ngayo. Umbuzo osebenzayo osheshayo uthi ngabe lokhu kuzoveza yini izingxoxo ezinemithetho engasebenza kahle enkundleni.

Umbono wethu (ukuqagela okunolwazi): ukuxhumana okwengeziwe kwezokuxhumana kungenzeka kakhulu kunokuma kokulwa ngokushesha. Uma izingxoxo ziqala kabusha ngaphandle kwezindlela okuvunyelwene ngazo zokuphoqelela ukugcinwa kwesivumelwano, izakhamuzi ezisezindaweni ezihlaselwayo zizoqhubeka zisengozini futhi imisebenzi yezempi ingaqhubeka eceleni kwezingxoxo. Uma izinhlangothi zifinyelela ekumisweni kokulwa okusebenzayo nokuqashelwayo, inzuzo ilula kabuhlungu: bambalwa abantu abasendaweni okulwelwa kuyo. Ithuba iKremlin ethembise lona lokubuyisela ukuhwebelana phakathi kweMelika neRussia lincike ekugcwalisekeni kwalowo mbandela omkhulu kakhulu.

Ukuqhathanisa komlando

Isibonelo esiseduze nesisebenziseka kakhulu yi-Sivumelwano Sokumiswa Kwezimpi SaseKorea sango-1953. Naso sasihlose ukumisa ukulwa okukhulu ngaphambi kokuba kuxazululwe ukungqubuzana lwezepolitiki oluyisisekelo, kanti amandla angaphandle ayemaphakathi ohlelweni lwezokuphepha.

Umehluko omkhulu kakhulu usezintweni ezibonakalayo: eKorea kwaba nesivumelwano sokumiswa kwezimpi esisayinwe, indawo ehlukanisiwe engenamasosha nezinhlaka zokuqondisa; lo mbiko uchaza ucingo kanye nezingxoxo zokuhlola amathuba. Isivumelwano saseKorea samisa ukulwa ngezinga elikhulu kodwa asizange sakhe isivumelwano sokuthula, sashiya inhlonhlo ihlukene futhi ngokomthetho isempini, njengoba i-AP yaphawula kamuva. Lokho kusikisela ukuthi into enqumayo okufanele ibhekwe manje akusikho ukuthi ucingo belunobungane kangakanani, kodwa ukuthi noma yikuphi ukumiswa kokulwa kuhambisana yini nokwehlukanisa amabutho, ukuqapha nezindlela zokulufeza.

Indlela imiphumela engasabalala ngayo

Uma ukuxhumana lwabongameli luholela ekuqalisweni kabusha kwezingxoxo phakathi kweRussia, i-Ukraine neMelika, abaxoxisanayo bangase baqale ukusebenzela ukumisa imisebenzi yezempi. Uma lezo zingxoxo ziveza imigomo engaphoqelelwa futhi zombili izinhlangothi ziyithobela, izakhamuzi eziphila ngaphansi kokuhlaselwa zingase zibone ingozi yazo incipha zingakapheli amasonto.

Lolu chungechunge luyaphuka uma izinhlangothi zingakwazi ukuvala umehluko phakathi kwazo, uma imigomo ingavunyelwana ngayo nhlobo, noma uma ukuhlasela kuqhubeka naphezu kokuxhumana kwezokuxhumana. Umbiko uthi ukuhlasela kunyukile ezinyangeni zakamuva, yingakho isimemezelo senhloso siyisinyathelo sokuqala kuphela.

Ukuhlolwa komthelela

• I-Ukraine: Isengozini emasontweni azayo. Ukuguquka okuholwa yiMelika kusuka ezingxoxweni zokuhlola amathuba kuya ezingxoxweni kungashintsha isimo sayo sokuxoxisana, kodwa ayikho imigomo yesivumelwano esinikezwayo okwamanje.

• IRussia: Imiphumela exubile ngokuhamba kwesikhathi. Ilungiselelo eliqeda ukungqubuzana lingaqhubekisela phambili umgomo oshiwo yiKremlin wokubuyisela ubudlelwano phakathi kweMelika neRussia, kanti imigomo yempi engakaxazululwa iseyisithiyo.

• Izakhamuzi ezisezindaweni ezithintwe ukungqubuzana: Zisengozini manje. Ukuphepha kwazo kuthuthuka kuphela uma ukumiswa kokulwa okuxoxiswene ngakho kugcinwa ngokoqobo.

Izimo ezingase zenzeke

Okungenzeka kakhulu: Uma ukuhlolwa okuhle komsebenzi wezithunywa kuveza olunye uxhumano lwezingxoxo kodwa kungekho uhlaka lokumiswa kwempi olwamukelwa yizinhlangothi zombili, imisebenzi yezempi iyaqhubeka ezinsukwini kuya emavikini. Lena yisisekelo ngoba umbiko uthi iRussia ne-Ukraine zisahlukene kakhulu. Omunye umhlangano wezokuxhumana ngaphandle kwemigomo yokumiswa kwempi, kuhambisana nokuhlasela okuqhubekayo, kungakuqinisa lokhu; imigomo okuvunyelwene ngayo yokufeza isivumelwano nokwehla okuqhubekayo kokushuba kungakwenza kube buthaka.

Okungcono: Uma izingxoxo eziqalwe kabusha ziveza imigomo yokumisa ubutha kanye nelungiselelo elithembekile lokuqapha, lokwehlukanisa amabutho noma lokufeza isivumelwano, ukulwa okukhulu kungancipha zingakapheli amasonto, kwehlise ingozi ezakhamuzini futhi kuvule indlela esebenzayo yokubuyiselwa komnotho okukhulunywe ngakho yiKremlin. Imigomo eshicilelwe, ilungiselelo lokuqapha kanye nokuncipha okuqhubekayo kokuhlasela kungasekela le ndlela.

Okubi: Uma izinhlangothi zingakwazi ukuvala umehluko phakathi kwazo, ucingo lungakhuphula okulindelwe kuyilapho isimo enkundleni yempi singashintshi noma siba sibi kakhulu. Izakhamuzi zizohlala zisengozini, kanti noma yikuphi ukubuyela esimweni esijwayelekile kobudlelwano bezomnotho phakathi kweMelika neRussia kuzobambezeleka. Ukungabi khona kohlaka olusha lwezingxoxo ezintathu, ukushuba okwengeziwe nokungabi khona kwemigomo evunyelwene ngayo kungakhomba kule ndlela.

Okufanele kubhekwe ngokulandelayo

• Isimemezelo esidlangalaleni sokuthi iRussia, i-Ukraine neMelika zizophinde ziqale izingxoxo ezintathu.
• Imigomo yokumiswa kwempi ecacisa ukuthi ukumiswa kokulwa kuzosetshenziswa, kuqashwe noma kuqinisekiswe kanjani.
• Ukuthi ukuhlasela okubikiwe kuyehla yini isikhathi eside ngemva kwanoma yiliphi ilungiselelo okuxoxiswene ngalo.