Inkundla ye-Polymarket yasephesheya idonsa izigidigidi ekuhwebeni okusolwa ukuthi kuvela e-U.S.

Okushintshile

Ngokombiko we-Wired, ucwaningo lwase-Rutgers oluholwa usosayensi wezibalo u-Harry Crane lulinganisela ukuthi abasebenzisi abase-U.S. benza cishe u-30% wokuhweba enkundleni ye-Polymarket yasephesheya esebenzisa i-crypto kusukela ngoMeyi 2025 kuya ku-Ephreli 2026. Lokho kusho umthamo oxhumene ne-U.S. ophakathi kuka-$10.6 billion no-$26.7 billion, nakuba le nkundla ivinjelwe e-United States kusukela ngo-2022; izimakethe zezemidlalo zazithinteke kakhulu, njengoba abasebenzisi base-U.S. belinganiselwa ukuthi benza cishe uhhafu womsebenzi.

I-Polymarket iphinde yasebenzisa umkhiqizo weselula onelayisensi, i-Polymarket US, kusukela ngoDisemba 2025. Ngo-Ephreli, isevisi enelayisensi yaphatha umthamo ongaba ngu-$1.6 billion, uma kuqhathaniswa cishe no-$9 billion enkundleni eyinhloko.

Kungani lokhu kubalulekile

Lena yinkinga yokuhlukanisa imikhiqizo, nakuba ifihlwa izindlela zokusebenzisa i-VPN. I-Polymarket izama ukuqhuba isango lase-U.S. elinelayisensi eduze kwenkundla enkulu kakhulu yasephesheya okuthi, ngokocwaningo, isaqhubeka nokuheha ukubamba iqhaza okukhulu okusolwa ukuthi kuvela e-U.S.

Emaqenjini akha, athenga noma aqhudelana ngemikhiqizo yezinkontileka zemicimbi, umbuzo obalulekile awusewona ukuthi imvume esemthethweni ikhona yini. Umbuzo uthi: ingabe umkhiqizo ogunyaziwe unazo yini izimakethe ezikhethiwe, uketshezi kanye nezinga elifanele lezithiyo zokufinyelela ukuze uhehe abasebenzisi asebevele bethola enye indlela? Isidingo sezemidlalo sibaluleke kakhulu lapha: uma ukufinyelela okusolwa ukuthi kuvela e-U.S. kuba nzima, ingxenye enkulu yomsebenzi ingase ithuthele ezindaweni ezinelayisensi noma ivele inyamalale emakethe efinyelelekayo.

Umbono wethu (ukuqagela okunolwazi): esikhathini esiseduze, kungenzeka kugqame kakhulu ukuzibeka ngokuhambisana nemithetho, kunokuba umsebenzi wasephesheya uwe ngokuphazima kweso. Uma i-Polymarket iqinisa izilawuli zendawo noma abalawuli begxila esiteshini esisebenzayo sokufinyelela noma sokuxhasa ngemali, abaqhubi abanamalayisensi bangathola ithuba elicacile lokuncintisana. Uma kungenjalo, umehluko phakathi kwemithetho ebekiwe nendlela abasebenzisi abafinyelela ngayo ngempela ungase uhlale umkhulu ngenkani.

Ukuqhathanisa komlando

Ngo-Ephreli 15, 2011, iziphathimandla zase-U.S. zavala i-PokerStars, i-Full Tilt Poker, ne-Absolute Poker/UltimateBet. Kokubili leso sigameko ne-Polymarket kubandakanya izimakethe zokubheja zasephesheya ezinesidingo esixhumene ne-U.S. naphezu kwemingcele yezomthetho, futhi zombili zibonisa ukuthi ukuphoqelelwa kwendawo kunzima kakhulu kunokumane ubeke uphawu oluthi “kuvaliwe”.

Umehluko obalulekile kufanele uqashelwe. I-PokerStars yayithembele eziteshini ezijwayelekile zokukhokha nokudlulisa imali; i-Polymarket isebenzisa i-crypto, kanti umbiko we-Wired ugxile ekweqweni kwezilawuli zendawo kusetshenziswa i-VPN. Ngemva kokubekwa kwamacala i-PokerStars, umbukiso we-Western Union owafakwa ku-SEC waqopha ukwehla ngo-50% kokudluliswa kwemali kusuka e-U.S. kuya e-Costa Rica, nakuba ukudluliswa okuhlobene nokugembula kwaqhubeka ngo-2011–12.

Lokho kuphakamisa isifundo esiwusizo: ingcindezi kumlamuli osebenzayo ingawunciphisa ngokushesha umsebenzi, kanti izilawuli ezingaphelele zishiya izindlela zokubaleka. Kulokhu, ukukhokhelana nge-crypto, ukufinyelela nge-VPN ne-Polymarket US kungashintsha lapho isidingo siya khona nokuthi lokho kuthutha kubonakala kangakanani.

Ukuhlolwa komthelela

Amaqembu e-Polymarket abhekele ukuthobela imithetho nomkhiqizo abhekene nenkomba ebonakala kakhudlwana yomehluko phakathi kwenkundla yawo yasephesheya nomkhiqizo wawo wase-U.S. onelayisensi. Emasontweni azayo, lokho kungandisa isisusa sokwenza umngcele phakathi kwaleyo mikhiqizo ucace futhi kube nzima ukuweqa.

Abaqhubi bezimakethe zokubikezela zase-U.S. abanamalayisensi bangazuza ezinyangeni eziyisithupha kuya kweziyi-12 uma ukufinyelela kwasephesheya kuba nezithiyo ezengeziwe. Inzuzo yabo ngeke ibe ukugxila emthethweni kuphela; kungaba ithuba lokuheha abasebenzisi abafuna izinkontileka ezitholakala e-U.S. ngaphandle kokusebenzisa izindlela zokuzungeza imikhawulo yendawo.

Kubasebenzisi abakhangwa izimakethe zezemidlalo zasephesheya, ukuphoqelelwa okuqinile kungasho ukufinyelela okuncane enkundleni abayisebenzisayo namuhla. Lokho kungaphushela umsebenzi emikhiqizweni enelayisensi uma leyo mikhiqizo ihlangabezana nesidingo, noma kuhlukanise ukubamba iqhaza uma ingasihlangabezani.

Izimo ezingaba khona

Okungenzeka kakhulu

Uma kungaveli isenzo esiqondile sokuphoqelela futhi ucwaningo luhlala luyisilinganiso sokuziphatha kunobufakazi obuqondile bendawo, i-Polymarket nezimbangi zayo cishe zizogcizelela umehluko phakathi kokufinyelela okunelayisensi e-U.S. nokufinyelela kwasephesheya ezinyangeni eziyisithupha kuya kweziyi-12 ezizayo. Umsebenzi wasephesheya ungase uqhubeke, kuyilapho ukuthobela imithetho kuba yindaba ebaluleke kakhulu yomkhiqizo nendlela inkampani ezibeka ngayo emakethe. Lesi simo siyaqina uma i-Polymarket iqhubeka nokusebenzisa zombili izinsiza futhi umsebenzi wezemidlalo wasephesheya uhlala mkhulu; siyaba buthaka uma inkampani ikhawulela ukufinyelela okusolwa ukuthi kuvela e-U.S. noma umthamo uthuthela kakhulu e-Polymarket US.

Okuhle kakhulu

Uma imikhiqizo enelayisensi inikeza izimakethe ezifanele ngokwanele nolwazi oluhle lomsebenzisi, kuyilapho ukufinyelela kwasephesheya kuba nzima kakhulu, isidingo esisekelwe e-U.S. singathuthela ezinsizeni ezigunyaziwe ezinyangeni eziyisithupha kuya kweziyi-12. Lokho kungathuthukisa isikhundla sokuncintisana sabaqhubi abalawulwayo futhi kunciphise ukubaluleka kokweqa izilawuli zendawo njengesici somkhiqizo. Bheka ukuthi izinkundla ezinelayisensi ziyazuza yini isabelo emsebenzini ogxile e-U.S. nowezemidlalo.

Okubi kakhulu

Uma abalawuli noma umlamuli obalulekile bebeka imingcele ephoqelelekayo ekufinyeleleni noma ekuxhasweni ngemali, umsebenzi wasephesheya oxhumene ne-U.S. ungase wehle kakhulu ekuqaleni. Esinye isidingo sisengathuthela ngeziteshi ezisele, sishiye abasebenzisi benoketshezi oluhlakazeke kakhulu nokufinyelela okungabikezeleki. Lesi simo siba nokwethenjelwa kakhulu uma iziphathimandla zimemezela isenzo esithile futhi umsebenzi wezemidlalo wasephesheya noma ogxile e-U.S. wehla ngemva kwalokho.

Okufanele kubhekwe ngokulandelayo

• Noma yiluphi ushintsho lwe-Polymarket ekuqinisekiseni indawo noma ekutholeni ama-VPN.
• Ukuthi umthamo we-Polymarket US uyakhula yini uma kuqhathaniswa nenkundla eyinhloko ye-crypto.
• Noma yisiphi isenzo sokuphoqelela sase-U.S. esigxile ekufinyeleleni okungagunyaziwe, ezilawulini zendawo noma kumlamuli osebenzayo ohlobene.