Iran erumbye enkambi Amerika gy’ekozesa mu Jordan n’ebyombo okumpi ne Hormuz

Ebiguddewo

Okusinziira ku mawulire ga The Citizen Tanzania, eggye lya Iran ery’Abakuumi b’Enkyukakyuka lyategeezezza nti lyakubye mizayiro ku nkambi Amerika gy’ekozesa okumpi ne Al Azraq mu Jordan. Lyagambye nti era lyalumbye ebyombo 10 okumpi n’omukutu gw’ennyanja ogwa Hormuz. Ku byo kwaliko ebyombo bya Amerika bibiri n’ebyombo munaana ebitwala amafuta.

Kino kyaddiridde eggye lya Amerika okutegeeza nti ku Lwokubiri lyasaanyizzaawo ebyombo bya Iran bitaano ebitwala amafuta. Jordan yagambye nti yalemesezza mizayiro 18 ku 20. Era yategeezezza nti tewaabadde bantu bafudde oba bafunye bisago. Ku Lwokusatu, ebbeeyi y’amafuta agatannalongoosebwa aga Brent yali esemberedde $100 buli ppipa.

Lwaki kino kikulu

Ensonga eno kati esukka ku magye okulumbagana. Obulumbaganyi bukaluubiriza okutambuza amafuta n’okugatuusa eri abageetaaga mu by’enfuna.

Entambula y’ebyombo mu Hormuz bw’etaataaganyizibwa, emigugu giyinza okulwawo okutuuka. Ebisale by’okugitambuza n’okugisingira biyinza okulinnya amangu. Kino kiyinza okukaluubiriza abasuubuzi okusalawo ddi na wa we banaagulira amafuta oba ebikozesebwa ebirala ebyetaagisa amafuta amangi okubikola.

Ekibuuzo ekikulu kati kisukka ku kumanya oba ekyombo kyalumbiddwa. Kikwata ne ku oba abaddukanya ebyombo banaasigala nga babiyisa mu mukutu Iran gw’egamba nti si gwa bukuumi.

Ekyombo ekitwala amafuta bwe kirwawo, amakolero agagalongoosa gayinza okugafuna ekikeerezi. Abagagaba bayinza okwongeza ebbeeyi okusobola okusasulira akabi akeeyongedde mu kugatambuza. N’abaguzi ab’enkomerero bayinza okusasula ssente nnyingi ku masannyalaze n’amafuta.

Mu kuteebereza kwaffe okwesigama ku biriwo, mu wiiki ezijja abaddukanya ebyombo bayinza okweyongera okwegendereza nga basalawo okuyita mu mukutu guno. Singa obulumbaganyi bweyongera, kino kiyinza okukuumira ebbeeyi y’amafuta n’ensimbi ezisaasaanyizibwa ku kuddukanya ebyombo ebigatwala waggulu. Naye embeera eyinza okulongoooka singa ebyombo biddamu okuyita bulijjo nga n’okutuusa emigugu tekutaataaganyizibwa okumala ebbanga eggwanvu.

Engeri ebizibu gye biyinza okutuuka ku balala

Okulumba ebyombo n’okukugira entambula mu Hormuz byongera akabi k’olugendo. Abaddukanya ebyombo bayinza okukyusa amakubo, okwongezaayo okusimbula oba okusaba okusasulwa ssente ezisingako ku lugendo.

Singa kino kirwisa emigugu, abaguzi bayinza obutafuna mu budde amafuta agatannalongoosebwa agaleetebwa ku nnyanja. Ekizibu kiyinza n’okutuuka ku mirimu emirala.

Amakolero agalongoosa amafuta n’abagagaba bayinza okusasula ssente nnyingi okugagula n’okugatambuza. Singa ensaasaanya eyo bagiteeka ku baguzi, mu wiiki ezijja bizinensi ezikozesa amafuta ziyinza okusasula ssente nnyingi ku bye zeetaaga okukola.

Ebiva mu kizibu kino biyinza okukendeera singa amafuta agava awalala, agali mu materekero oba amakubo amalala biyamba okuvvuunuka okutaataaganyizibwa. Era biyinza okukendeera singa abagaba amafuta basalawo okwesasulira ensaasaanya eyongezekeddeko.

Amawulire agagamba nti ekyombo ekitwala ggaasi ow’obutonde afuuliddwa amazzi (LNG) kyayonoonebwa e Khor Fakkan galeese okweraliikirira okulala. Tekinnategeerekeka ani eyakikola. Naye ebintu ng’ebyo bwe biddibwamu, abayingiza LNG nga bakozesa amakubo g’ennyanja mu Kikomero kya Buperusi bayinza obutakakasa bungi bwa ggaasi gwe banaasobola okutambuza oba ddi lw’anaatuuka.

Abakosebwa n’engeri gye bakosebwamu

• Abaddukanya ebyombo ebitwala amafuta: Boolekeddewo akabi ak’obutabanguko, okulwawo n’okukyusa amakubo okumpi ne Hormuz.
• Abakozi ba Amerika abali ku nkambi mu Jordan: Boolekedde butereevu akabi akava mu kulwanagana okweyongedde. Kino kiri bwe kityo wadde nga Jordan yategeezezza nti yalemesezza mizayiro, ne Amerika n’egamba nti yali emanyi abakozi baayo bonna gye bali.
• Bizinensi ezeesigama ku mafuta agabatuusibwako: Mu wiiki ezijja ziyinza okusasula ssente nnyingi ku mafuta n’ebirala bye zikozesa singa ebyombo byeyongera okulwawo. Kino kiyinza okubaawo singa ensaasaanya eyongezekeddeko ebalirwa mu ndagaano z’okugaba amafuta oba mu bbeeyi y’okugula agaliwo mu kiseera ekyo.
• Abayingiza LNG nga bakozesa amakubo g’ebyombo mu Kikomero kya Buperusi: Singa okwonoona ebyombo kufuuka kwa lunye, bayinza okukaluubirirwa okutegeera obungi bwa ggaasi gwe banaasobola okutambuza n’obudde bw’anaatuukira.

Ebiyinza okuddako

Ekisinga okusuubirwa

Singa obulumbaganyi obulala buba butono naye okweraliikirira entambula y’ebyombo ne kusigalawo, abaddukanya ebyombo bayinza okumala wiiki eziwerako ezijja nga bayita mu Hormuz n’obwegendereza.

Kino kyandikuumidde ensaasaanya y’obukuumi n’okuddukanya ebyombo waggulu. Era kyandirese ebbeeyi ya Brent okumpi n’eyo eyategeezeddwa oba n’esukkawo. Tekitegeeza nti okutuusa amafuta kwandiyimiridde okumala ebbanga eggwanvu.

Kino kye tusinga okusuubira kubanga okulumba ebyombo by’amafuta kwategeezeddwa dda, ate nga Brent esemberera $100. Entambula y’ebyombo by’amafuta bw’esigala nga ekugiddwa, n’obulumbaganyi obulala ne bubaawo nga tewali bukakafu nti omukutu guggaddwa okumala ebbanga eggwanvu, kyandinywezezza okusuubira kuno. Naye entambula bw’edda ku bulijjo ne Brent n’ekka, kyandikukendeezezza.

Singa embeera erongoooka

Singa okulumba ebyombo by’obusuubuzi kukoma n’ebiziyiza okuyita mu mukutu ne bikendeera, abaddukanya ebyombo by’amafuta bayinza okuzzaawo enteekateeka z’engendo ezisinga okwesigika. Kino kiyinza okutwala wiiki oba emyezi.

Okukendeeza ku kuwugula amakubo n’okulwawo kwandikendeezezza obwetaavu bw’abaguzi okutereka amafuta amangi nga beetangira ebizibu. Era kwandibayambye okuteekateeka obulungi okugula bye beetaaga.

Ebyombo by’amafuta okuddamu okutambula, obutaba na byombo birala byonoonebwa n’ebbeeyi y’amafuta okukka byandinywezezza essuubi lino. Obulumbaganyi obupya oba okukugira entambula okwongera kwandirikendeezezza.

Singa embeera yeeyongera okwonooneka

Singa obulumbaganyi butuuka ku byombo by’amafuta ebirala, ebya LNG oba ebifo n’ebyuma by’amasannyalaze, amafuta ne ggaasi mu kitundu, abaddukanya ebyombo bayinza okumala ebbanga eggwanvu nga balwisa oba beewala okuyita mu Hormuz.

Abaguzi olwo bandivuganyizza okufuna emigugu gy’amafuta okuva awalala. Mu kiseera kye kimu, bizinensi ezeetaaga amafuta n’amasannyalaze amangi zandibadde zisanga ebbeeyi y’amafuta eri waggulu era enzibu okuteebereza. Kino kyandimaze wiiki oba ne kituuka ku myezi 6–12.

Okulumba ebyombo by’obusuubuzi enfunda eziwera, obujulizi obweyongera obw’entambula okutaataaganyizibwa n’ebbeeyi y’amafuta agatannalongoosebwa okusigala waggulu byandiraze nti embeera eno y’egenda okubaawo. Okumala ebbanga nga tewali bulumbaganyi n’omuwendo gw’ebyombo ebiyita mu mukutu okudda ku gwa bulijjo byandikendeezezza obusobozi bw’embeera eno okubaawo.

Eby’okugoberera

• Oba ebyombo by’amafuta byeyongera okulwawo n’okuwugula amakubo, oba bisobola okuddamu okuyita mu Hormuz nga bulijjo.
• Oba ebyombo by’obusuubuzi ebirala oba ebifo n’ebyuma by’amasannyalaze, amafuta ne ggaasi birumbibwa oba byonoonebwa.
• Oba ebbeeyi ya Brent esigala waggulu ng’entambula y’ebyombo etaataaganyizibwa, oba ekka ng’ebyombo by’amafuta biddamu okutambula nga bulijjo.