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Ngo bɛrel boɔ aboro $100 wɔ ntua a ɛkɔɔ so wɔ Mfinimfini Apueeɛ akyi

Brent ngo amono bɛrel boɔ boroo $100 Wukuda anɔpatutuutu. Ntua a ɛbaa Iran ahyɛn a ɛsoa ngo, Saudi Arabia mmeaeɛ a wɔyɛ ngo ho adwuma ne ahyɛn akwantuo akwan so no ama nkurɔfoɔ suro paa sɛ ɔko a ɛrekɔ so wɔ Mfinimfini Apueeɛ no bɛtwa ngo a wɔde ma gua no mu.

Nea enti a eyi ho hia

Ngo amono boɔ a ɛkɔ soro ma wimhyɛn pɛtro ho ka yɛ kɛseɛ. Wimhyɛn nnwumakuo ate akwantuo so na wɔama akwantuo boɔ ne ka foforɔ a wɔgye akɔ soro deda. Ɛno ma akwantuo a nkurɔfoɔ bɛnya so te anaa ɛma ɛho ka yɛ kɛseɛ.

Financial Trends Today publication

Deɛ asesa

Sɛdeɛ AP amanyɛbɔ a ɛfa adwumayɛ ne sikasɛm ho kyerɛ no, Brent ngo amono boɔ wiee da no gua wɔ $97.89. Ɛduruu Wukuda anɔpatutuutu no, na akɔ soro 2.4% ayɛ $100.29. Bɛyɛ nnawɔtwe nsia ni a ɛdi kan sɛ ne boɔ aboro $100. Amerika ngo amono nso boɔ kɔɔ soro 1.9% yɛɛ $94.77.

Ngo boɔ no kɔɔ soro wɔ Amerika ntua a ɛbaa Iran ahyɛn nnum a ɛsoa ngo so akyi. Houthi ntua nso maa ogya tɔɔ Saudi Arabia mmeaeɛ a wɔyɛ ngo ho adwuma. Afei, ahunahuna aba ɔkwan foforɔ a Saudi Arabia fa so de ngo kɔ amannɔne no so. Saa berɛ yi nyinaa, ahyɛn akwantuo mu dodoɔ no ara da so agyina wɔ Hormuz nsuo teateaa no so.

Deɛ enti a ɛho hia

Seesei, asɛm no mfa ngo amono boɔ a ɛrekɔ soro ne fam nko ara ho. Ɛka sika a wɔde tua akwantuo ne nneɛma a wɔsoa ho ka nso. Ɛno nti, ɛtumi ma nnwuma ka kɔ soro ntɛm sene sɛdeɛ anka wɔbɛhwɛ kwan. Ɛka wimhyɛn pɛtro, diesel, apam a wɔyɛ de soa nneɛma, wimhyɛn akwantuo, aduane foforɔ a wɔde kɔma adetɔfoɔ, adaka ne nkonnwa, ne afie mu mfidie.

AP bɔ amaneɛ sɛ, Benada no, pɛtro a wɔtaa de gu kar mu wɔ Amerika no boɔ nkyekyɛmu yɛɛ $4.15 wɔ galɔn biara ho. Na ɛboro afe a atwam no berɛ korɔ no deɛ so 26%. Diesel deɛ yɛɛ $5.90, a na ɛboro afe a atwam no deɛ so 59%.

Wimhyɛn nnwumakuo ate akwantuo dodoɔ so deda. Wɔama akwantuo boɔ ne ka foforɔ a wɔgye nso akɔ soro. Ɛno ma akwantuo a nkurɔfoɔ bɛnya ayɛ kakra.

Nnwuma a ɛde nneɛma akɛseɛ kɔma adetɔfoɔ anaa ɛsɛ sɛ wɔn nneɛma duru ntɛm no wɔ gyinaesi a ɛyɛ den anim. Wɔbɛtumi atua ka a aka nneɛma no soa ho no ankasa. Wɔbɛtumi asesa sɛdeɛ wɔde nneɛma no kɔ. Anaasɛ wɔbɛma adetɔfoɔ atua ka a aka ho no bi.

Yɛn adwene a yɛde nsɛm a ɛwɔ hɔ gyina so rebu deɛ ɛbɛba ne sɛ, nnawɔtwe a ɛdi anim no mu, ɛbɛyɛ den sɛ nnwuma bɛnya ahotɔ afiri pɛtro ho ka mu. Gye sɛ ahyɛn a ɛsoa ngo no akwantuo nya ahobanbɔ a wɔbɛtumi de wɔn ho ato so.

Asɛmmisa titire no mfa sɛ ngo boɔ bɛtumi atwa boɔ pɔtee bi berɛ tiawa bi anaa ho. Ɛfa sɛ ngo no ankasa bɛtumi afa Hormuz ne akwan foforɔ a Saudi Arabia de di dwuma no so a biribi foforɔ rentwa akwantuo no mu anaa ho. Ɛno na ɛbɛkyerɛ sɛ ka a akɔ soro no bɛyɛ ɔhaw berɛ tiawa bi mu anaa ɛbɛtena hɔ ama nnwuma asesa wɔn boɔ, akwan a wɔfa so de nneɛma kɔ ne nneɛma dodoɔ a wɔkora so.

Deɛ asɛm bi a ɛsii dada kyerɛ

Amerika Asoɛeɛ a Ɛhwɛ Ahoɔden Ho Nsɛm So no amanyɛbɔ a ɛfa ntua a ɛbaa Saudi Arabia wɔ Ɛbɔ 2019 mu ho boa ma yɛde saa berɛ no toto seesei ho.

Saa ntua no sɛee Saudi Aramco adwumayɛbea a wɔyɛ ngo ho adwuma wɔ Abqaiq ne ngo asase a ɛwɔ Khurais. Brent ne WTI boɔ kɔɔ soro wɔ da baako mu sene da biara wɔ mfeɛ du a na atwam no mu.

Deɛ ɛde nsɛm mmienu no di nsɛ no da adi. Ntua ma ngo a wɔde ma gua no ho ba asiane mu. Ngo amono boɔ kɔ soro. Afei, pɛtro boɔ a akɔ soro no ka nnwuma afoforɔ nso.

Nanso nsonsonoeɛ titire bi wɔ seesei deɛ no mu. Wɔ 2019 mu no, Saudi Arabia maa ngo a wɔyɛ ne deɛ wɔde gu ahyɛn mu kɔ amannɔne no san baa sɛdeɛ na ɛteɛ wɔ nnawɔtwe kakra mu. AP amanyɛbɔ a ɛfa seesei ho no ka sɛ, akwansideɛ aba Hormuz akwantuo mu abosome pii. Ngo a wɔakora so no so rete. Ɔko no gu so, na wɔreto ahyɛ ɔkwan foforɔ a Saudi Arabia fa so de ngo kɔ amannɔne no nso so.

EIA kaa sɛ, wɔ 2019 mu no, eduruu bosome no awieeɛ no na ngo boɔ asan aba sɛdeɛ na ɛteɛ ansa na ntua no reba. Saudi Arabia ngo a wɔyɛ no san kɔɔ soro. Afei, na nkurɔfoɔ adwene nsi wɔn pi sɛ ngo a wɔhia no bɛkɔ soro sɛdeɛ wɔhwɛɛ kwan, na ɛno nso brɛɛ ne boɔ ase.

Ɛno kyerɛ sɛ, sɛ ngo a wɔde ma gua ne nhyehyɛeɛ a wɔde kɔ amannɔne no san yɛ adwuma ma nkurɔfoɔ nya mu ahotosoɔ a, ɛbɛtumi abrɛ ngo boɔ a akɔ soro prɛko pɛ no ase. Seesei deɛ, adeɛ titire a ɛsɛ sɛ yɛhwɛ ne sɛ ahyɛn a ɛsoa ngo no bɛtumi akɔ so afa akwan no so a akwansideɛ mma mu bio anaa.

Sɛdeɛ ɛbɛtumi aka nneɛma foforɔ

Sɛ ngo amono boɔ kɔ soro a, ɛma wimhyɛn pɛtro boɔ nso kɔ soro. Pɛtro ka nneɛma a wimhyɛn nnwumakuo sɛe sika pii wɔ ho no ho.

Nnwumakuo no ate akwantuo so na wɔama akwantuo boɔ ne ka foforɔ a wɔgye akɔ soro. Wɔ nnawɔtwe kakra mu no, ɛbɛtumi aba sɛ akwantufoɔ bɛtua sika pii, nanso akwantuo a wɔbɛtumi apaw afiri mu no bɛyɛ kakra.

Diesel boɔ deɛ fa lɔre a ɛsoa nneɛma, nneɛma a wɔde kɔma adetɔfoɔ ntɛm ne nneɛma a wɔsoa kɔ akyirikyiri so ka nnwuma. Aguadifoɔ ne wɔn a wɔde nneɛma ma wɔn no bɛtumi atua ka a aka ho no bi ankasa berɛ bi. Nanso sɛ ka no kɔ so ara yɛ kɛseɛ a, ɛbɛtumi ama wɔasesa akwan a wɔfa so, ate nneɛma a wɔkora so no so anaa ama boɔ akɔ soro.

Sɛ ngo ne wimhyɛn pɛtro boɔ san ba fam a, ɛbɛtumi ama saa nsunsuansoɔ no so ate. Sɛ wimhyɛn nnwumakuo san de akwantuo a wɔayi afiri hɔ no ba nso a, ɛbɛtumi aboa saa ara.

Wɔn a asɛm no bɛka wɔn

Wimhyɛn nnwumakuo te nka ntɛm, ɛfiri sɛ pɛtro ka nneɛma titire a wɔsɛe sika wɔ ho de yɛ wɔn adwuma no ho. Adeɛ baako a wɔbɛtumi ayɛ ne sɛ wɔbɛsesa akwantuo dodoɔ a wɔyɛ. Akwantuo a wɔbɛte so ne sika a wɔgye a wɔbɛma akɔ soro no bɛtumi aboa wɔn ama wɔakora wɔn mfasoɔ so. Nanso ɛbɛtumi nso ama ayɛ den ama nkurɔfoɔ sɛ wɔbɛtu kwan.

Nnwuma a ɛhia sɛ wɔsoa nneɛma kɔ ba no bɛte nka nkakrankakra, nanso ɛbɛka wɔn adwuma no afã pii. Tumi a wɔwɔ sɛ wɔne adetɔfoɔ bɛdi boɔ ho nkitaho no gyina berɛ tenten a nneɛma soa ho ka no bɛkɔ so ayɛ kɛseɛ so. Sɛ ɛkyɛ a, wɔbɛtumi de ka no ato adetɔfoɔ so. Nneɛma a ɛfiri akyirikyiri ba anaa ɛsɛ sɛ ɛduru ntɛm no, diesel boɔ a akɔ soro no bɛka wɔn paa.

Saudi Arabia nnwuma a ɛde ngo kɔ amannɔne no deɛ, ɔhaw no fa sɛdeɛ wɔbɛsoa ngo no akɔ ho tẽẽ. Akwansideɛ pii wɔ Hormuz akwantuo mu, na ɔkwan foforɔ no nso wɔ ntua ase. Enti sɛ ngo wɔ hɔ a, ɛno nkyerɛ sɛ wɔbɛtumi de aduru wɔn a wɔrehia no nkyɛn.

Deɛ ɛbɛtumi asi

Deɛ ɛbɛyɛ sɛ ɛbɛsi paa. Sɛ Hormuz akwantuo no firi ase san ba nkakrankakra, nanso ntua ne akasakasa a ɛfa hɔ a wɔbɛfa ho no kɔ so a, ngo amono boɔ bɛtumi akɔ so asesa pii wɔ nnawɔtwe a ɛdi anim no mu. Pɛtro ho ka bɛtumi ama wimhyɛn nnwumakuo akɔ so ayɛ ahwɛyie wɔ akwantuo a wɔbɛyɛ no dodoɔ ho. Nneɛma soa ho ka nso bɛtumi akɔ so ayɛ ɔhaw.

Yɛde yei yɛ deɛ yɛhwɛ kwan paa, ɛfiri sɛ AP bɔ amaneɛ sɛ nhwehwɛmufoɔ hwɛ kwan sɛ akwantuo no bɛsan aba nkakrankakra. Nanso akwansideɛ da so wɔ ɔkwan no so, na nkitahodie no agu. Sɛ ahyɛn a ɛsoa ngo kɔ so tu kwan daa, Saudi Arabia akwan no yɛ adwuma pɛpɛɛpɛ, na Brent boɔ kɔ so wɔ boɔ a ɛbɛtumi akɔ soro aduru berɛ a wɔasɛe ngo ho mmeaeɛ titire no ase a, ɛbɛhyɛ saa adwene yi mu den.

Sɛ nneɛma kɔ yie. Sɛ Amerika ne Iran nya apam a wɔbɛtumi de adi dwuma ama ahyɛn afa hɔ dwoodwoo, na ntua ansɛe Saudi Arabia akwan anaa mmeaeɛ titire no bio a, ahyɛn a ɛsoa ngo no akwantuo bɛtumi asan ayɛ deɛ wɔde wɔn ho bɛto so wɔ nnawɔtwe anaa abosome mu.

Ngo amono ne pɛtro a wɔde tu kwan boɔ bɛtumi aba fam. Ɛno bɛtumi ama wimhyɛn nnwumakuo asan de akwantuo a wɔayi afiri hɔ no bi aba. Ɛbɛtumi nso ate nneɛma a wɔde kɔma adetɔfoɔ ho ka so. Sɛ ngo amono boɔ kɔ fam na ahyɛn akwantuo nso kɔ so daa a, ɛbɛhyɛ saa adwene yi mu den.

Sɛ nneɛma sɛe. Sɛ ntua kɔ so ma akwansideɛ tena ahyɛn akwantuo mu, anaa ɛsɛe mmeaeɛ ne mfidie titire a wɔde yɛ ahoɔden ho adwuma a, ngo a ɛbɛduru gua so bɛtumi ayɛ kakra. Ɛno bɛtumi ama pɛtro boɔ akɔ soro wɔ nna kakra kɔsi abosome mu.

Wimhyɛn nnwumakuo bɛtumi ate akwantuo so bio. Aguadifoɔ a wɔn adwuma gyina nneɛma a wɔsoa ba so no nso bɛnya nteaseɛ a ɛmu yɛ den sɛ wɔde ka a aka ho no bɛto adetɔfoɔ so.

AP bɔ amaneɛ sɛ, nhwehwɛmufoɔ hunu sɛ ngo boɔ bɛtumi ayɛ $95 kɔsi $120 sɛ akwansideɛ no kɔ so a. Sɛ wɔsɛe mmeaeɛ ne mfidie titire no a, ɛbɛtumi ahuri akɔ $150. Sɛ ntua a ɛba ahyɛn so kɔ so, wɔnya adanseɛ sɛ wɔasɛe mmeaeɛ ne mfidie no, na wimhyɛn nnwumakuo san sesa akwantuo boɔ anaa akwantuo dodoɔ a, ɛbɛkyerɛ sɛ nneɛma rekɔ saa kwan yi so.

Deɛ ɛsɛ sɛ yɛhwɛ afei

  • Sɛ ahyɛn a ɛsoa ngo bɛtumi akɔ so afa Hormuz nsuo teateaa no so daa a asiane biara mma wɔn anaa.
  • Sɛ Amerika ne Iran bɛtumi apene nhyehyɛeɛ a ɛbɛma ahyɛn afa hɔ so anaa. Nkitahodie a wɔdii kan yɛeɛ no guu wɔ akasakasa a ɛfa tumi a wɔde bɛhyɛ ahyɛn akwantuo no so ne ɛho sika a wɔbɛgye ho.
  • Sɛ ntua bɛsɛe mmeaeɛ ne mfidie a wɔde yɛ ngo ho adwuma anaa Saudi Arabia akwan a wɔfa so de ngo kɔ amannɔne no bio anaa.
  • Wimhyɛn akwantuo a wɔbɛyi afiri nhyehyɛeɛ mu, akwantuo boɔ a ɛbɛkɔ soro ne sika foforɔ a wɔbɛgye ɛnam pɛtro ho ka nti.
Sources (4)
  1. AP BusinessOil rises past $100 a barrel after the latest wave of Middle East attacks
  2. eia.govSaudi Arabia crude oil production outage affects global crude oil and gasoline prices
  3. eia.govCrude oil prices were generally lower in 2019 than in 2018
  4. eia.govRisk of oil supply disruptions can have an immediate effect on oil prices

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