Amasosha ase-US nawase-Iran adubulana eduze nesiQhingi saseKharg

Okushintshile

I-US Central Command ithe ihlasele imikhumbi emithathu ethwala uwoyela yase-Iran, kuhlanganisa nowawuseduze nesiQhingi saseKharg, ngemuva kokuba i-Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps yase-Iran idubule imicibisholo ye-ballistic emikhunjini emibili ye-US Navy. I-Iran ithe iqondise imikhumbi emithathu ethwala uwoyela eStrait of Hormuz futhi yasongela imikhumbi esebenzisa lokho ekubiza ngemizila yamanzi engagunyaziwe. I-CENTCOM ithe akekho kubasebenzi base-US olimele; i-Tasnim news agency yase-Iran ibike ukuthi umkhumbi othwala uwoyela eduze neKharg ushaywe imicibisholo emine yase-US nokuthi abasebenzi bawo bayakhishwa. The Citizen Tanzania

Kungani lokhu kubalulekile

Lokhu kudubulana kwandisa ubungozi eduze neKharg, eyayisingatha amaphesenti angu-90 okuthunyelwa ngaphandle kukawoyela ongahluziwe wase-Iran ngaphambi kwempi, kuyilapho ukuvinjelwa kwe-US kokuthunyelwa ngaphandle kwe-Iran sekukhona kusukela maphakathi no-Ephreli. Lokhu akufakazeli ukuvalwa okubanzi kweStrait of Hormuz futhi akuqinisekisi ngokuzimela umonakalo emikhunjini, kodwa ukuphazamiseka okwengeziwe kungase kuphazamise ukuthunyelwa kukawoyela ongahluziwe wase-Iran. The Citizen Tanzania

Indlela imiphumela engasabalala ngayo

Ukuhlasela nobungozi bezokuphepha eduze neKharg kungase kukhawulele ukulayishwa noma ukudlula kwemikhumbi yabathumeli bakawoyela base-Iran. Uma izinsongo noma ezinye izehlakalo zenza abaqhubi bemikhumbi ethwala uwoyela babambezele noma bashintshe uhambo lwabo, abathengi bamandla bangase bafune imithwalo kawoyela ezovala isikhala namandla okuthutha ngolwandle. Leyo ngcindezi ingaba ncane uma ezinye izinhlelo zigcina ukugeleza kuqhubeka noma abanye abakhiqizi nezinqolobane benxephezela ukuncipha kokunikezwa okuvela e-Iran.

Ukuhlolwa komthelela

• Abathumeli bakawoyela base-Iran babhekene nezithiyo ezisheshayo ekuthumeleni uwoyela ongahluziwe ngeKharg ngenxa yokuhlaselwa okubikiwe kwemikhumbi ethwala uwoyela kanye nokuvinjelwa osekuvele kukhona.
• Abaqhubi bezentengiselwano bemikhumbi ethwala uwoyela babhekene nobungozi obukhudlwana emizileni nasekudluleni ezinsukwini ezizayo ngenxa yesexwayiso sase-Iran.
• Abathengi bamandla bangase babhekane nokunikezwa okuncane ngolwandle emasontweni azayo uma ukwehla kokugeleza kukawoyela wase-Iran kunganxephezelwa kwenye indawo.

Izimo ezingase zenzeke

Umbono wethu (ukuqagela okusekelwe olwazini):

Okungenzeka kakhulu

Uma lokhu kudubulana kugcina kugxile ekuhlaselweni nasezinsongweni ezibikiwe, abaqhubi bemikhumbi ethwala uwoyela nabathengi bakawoyela cishe bazokwenza izinguquko eziqaphile emizileni nasekuthengeni emasontweni azayo, ngaphandle kokuvalwa okubanzi okuqinisekisiwe kweStrait of Hormuz. Lona umbono oyisisekelo ngoba izehlakalo ezibikiwe ziqondene nemikhumbi ethile. Ezinye izexwayiso noma ukuhlasela okwengeziwe okungahlobene nezinye izehlakalo kungawuqinisa; ukubuyela kokuhamba kokuthunyelwa ngaphandle kwe-Iran kungawenza buthaka.

Okungcono

Uma iTehran neWashington begwema okunye ukuhlasela kwemikhumbi ethwala uwoyela noma imikhumbi yezempi, inhloso yesivumelwano sesikhashana sangoJuni yokuphelisa impi ingaphinde ibe namandla ekusebenzeni. Ukusebenza kwemikhumbi ethwala uwoyela eduze neKharg kungase kubikezeleke kakhudlwana, kunciphise ukuthengwa kukawoyela wokubhekana nezimo eziphuthumayo. Ukungabi bikho kokunye ukuhlaselwa kwemikhumbi ethwala uwoyela kanye nokuncipha kwezinsongo ezithinta ukuhamba kwayo kungasekela le ndlela.

Okubi

Uma i-Iran ihlasela eminye imikhumbi noma i-United States yandisa izinyathelo zayo ngokumelene nokuthuthwa kukawoyela okuhlobene neKharg, abaqhubi abaningi bangase bagweme noma babambezele ukudlula eduze ne-Iran. Lokho kungase kuqhubeke kunciphisa ukuthunyelwa kukawoyela ongahluziwe wase-Iran futhi kuholele abathengi ekufuneni eminye imithwalo kawoyela kanye nezinhlelo zokuthutha. Okunye ukuhlaselwa kwemikhumbi ethwala uwoyela, ukukhishwa kwabasebenzi noma ukuncipha kokugeleza ngeKharg kungasekela lo mphumela.

Okufanele kubhekwe ngokulandelayo

• Ukuhlaselwa okuqinisekisiwe kwemikhumbi ethwala uwoyela, ukuhlasela noma ukukhishwa kwabasebenzi eduze neKharg noma eStrait of Hormuz.
• Izinguquko ekuthunyelweni kukawoyela ongahluziwe wase-Iran ngeKharg.
• Ezinye izijeziso noma izinyathelo zezempi ezivela ekuphathweni kukaTrump ezithinta ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle kukawoyela wase-Iran noma iKharg.