Amanani Kaphethiloli e-UK Afinyelele Phezulu Kunawo Wonke Selokhu Kwaqala Impi Yase-Iran

Okushintshile

Isilinganiso sentengo kaphethiloli e-UK sesifinyelele ku-163.6p ilitha ngalinye, okuyizinga eliphezulu kunawo wonke kusukela kwaqala impi yase-Iran mhla zingama-28 kuNhlolanja, kanti isilinganiso sikadizili singu-184.99p. Uwoyela ongahluziwe i-Brent umi cishe ku-$94 umphongolo ngamunye, kanti i-RAC ithi abashayeli cishe nakanjani bazokhokha kakhulu emasontweni ezayo uma intengo kawoyela iqhubeka iphezulu, ngokusho kwe-BBC News. Ushintsho lwamanani kawoyela emakethe yezitolo ezinkulu luvamise ukuthatha cishe amasonto amabili ukufinyelela eziteshini zokugcwalisa uphethiloli e-UK.

Kungani lokhu kubalulekile

Umphumela wokuqala ubonakala epompeni. Abashayeli bezimoto bakhokha kakhulu ukuze bahambe, kanti izinkampani zokuletha, abasabalalisi bokudla, abasebenza ngemisebenzi yezandla, amapulazi namanye amaqoqo ezimoto asebenzela amabhizinisi babhekana nezindleko eziphakeme zokusebenza. Umbuzo olandelayo uthi ingakanani yalezo zindleko ezomuncwa ngamabhizinisi nokuthi ingakanani ezodluliselwa kumakhasimende.

Emindenini, lokhu kungadala izingcindezi ezimbili. Ukushayela kubiza kakhulu ngokushesha. Ukudla nezinye izimpahla ezilethwayo kungabiza kakhulu kamuva uma abathwali nabahlinzeki befaka izinkokhiso ezengeziwe zikaphethiloli noma benyusa amanani ukuze babuyise izindleko zokuthutha. Umthelela ekwenyukeni kwamanani jikelele uncike ebungako nasenkathini yokwenyuka kwentengo kaphethiloli, engxenyeni emuncwa inzuzo yamabhizinisi, nasekuguqukeni kwezinye izindleko ezinkulu; ukukhuphuka kwentengo kaphethiloli kukodwa akunqumi izinga lokwenyuka kwamanani.

Imiphumela ingasabalala kanjani

Lolu chungechunge luqala kuwoyela ongahluziwe, luye kuphethiloli othengiswa emakethe yezitolo ezinkulu, bese lufinyelela kuphethiloli nodizili ngemva kwesikhathi sokulibaziseka esibikiwe eziteshini zokugcwalisa. Abashayeli bezentengiselwano namaqoqo ezimoto asebenzela amabhizinisi yibo abaqala ukukhokha lokhu kwenyuka. Uma abaqhubi bezokuthutha bezidlulisela lezi zindleko, abasabalalisi nabathengisi babhekana nezindleko eziphakeme zokuletha, ezingagcina sezifinyelela kubathengi ngamanani okudla nezinye izimpahla ezilethwayo. Ukwehla kwentengo kawoyela ongahluziwe, izinkontileka zokuthutha ezinamanani amisiwe, ukwanda kokusebenza kahle, noma amabhizinisi amunca ingxenye yokwenyuka kunganciphisa ukudluliselwa kwezindleko.

I-Office for National Statistics yabhala ngale ndlela ngemva kokushaqeka kwango-2022: izindleko eziphakeme zikadizili zenyusa izindleko zokuthutha ukudla neziphuzo, kanti abanye abakhiqizi badlulisela kumakhasimende ukunyuka kwezindleko zezinto ezisetshenziswa ekukhiqizeni, abanye bemunca ingxenye yazo enhlweni yabo. Lokhu kusekela indlela umthelela ongadlulela ngayo, kodwa akusona isibikezelo sokuthi konke ukwenyuka kwamanje kwentengo kaphethiloli kuzoveza umphumela ofanayo.

Ukuqhathanisa nomlando

Isibonelo esiwusizo ukushaqeka okuhlukile kwamanani kaphethiloli e-UK ngo-2022. Ngo-Juni 2022, i-ONS yaqopha intengo kaphethiloli iku-184.0p nodizili iku-192.4p ilitha ngalinye, kokubili okwakungamazinga aphezulu arekhodiwe ngaleso sikhathi. Amanani kaphethiloli wezimoto ayephezulu ngo-42.3% kunangonyaka owandulele, kanti ezokuthutha zaba negalelo elikhulu kunawo wonke ekukhuphukeni kokwenyuka kwamanani abathengi ngaleyo nyanga. Amanani okudla nawo ayenyuka, kunezici eziningi ezazidlala indima, okubalwa kuzo amandla, izimpahla eziyisisekelo nokuphazamiseka kokuhlinzekwa.

Okwalandela kuyafundisa. Ngo-Disemba 2022, intengo kaphethiloli yayisehlele ku-155.3p kanti eyodizili ku-179.1p, kanti ukwenyuka kwamanani ezokuthutha kwase kwehle izinyanga eziyisithupha zilandelana. Nokho, ukwenyuka kwamanani okudla kwakusengu-16.9%, okubonisa ukuthi amanani ezimpahla esezidlulile ochungechungeni lokuhlinzekwa angahamba ngezikhathi ezingafani lapho izindleko eziphakeme zamandla, zezimpahla eziyisisekelo, zokukhiqiza nezokuthutha sezidlulile kulolo chungechunge.

Izilinganiso zamanje zentengo epompeni zingaphansi kweziqongo zango-2022, kanti inhlanganisela yezimbangela yehlukile. Isifundo esisebenzayo siwukubheka kokubili amanani kaphethiloli uqobo kanye nedatha elandelayo yamabhizinisi namanani abathengi: ukwenyuka kwesikhashana kungancipha ngaphambi kokuba kudlulele kabanzi ezindlekweni zabathengi, kanti ukwenyuka okuqhubekayo kunika amafemu isizathu esinamandla sokulungisa izinkokhiso namanani.

Kwezinye izindaba zethu

Umbiko wethu wangaphambilini mayelana nokusabela okusheshayo kwemakethe kawoyela ubambe isigaba sokuqala sokuphazamiseka kwamanje. Lo mbiko wase-UK ukhombisa isigaba esilandelayo: ingcindezi yamanani emakethe yezitolo ezinkulu isifinyelela eziteshini zokugcwalisa. Ukuhlaziywa okuhlukile kwesivumelwano sikawoyela sase-US-Venezuela kuchaza ukuthi kungani izinqolobane ezengeziwe zingaguquki ngaso sonke isikhathi zibe ukwehla okusheshayo kwamanani okudayisa.

Ukuhlolwa komthelela

• Abashayeli bezimoto: izindleko eziphakeme zokugcwalisa uphethiloli ngokushesha, ikakhulukazi kubantu abangakwazi ukunciphisa ibanga abahamba ngalo.
• Amaqoqo ezimoto ezentengiselwano nabaqhubi bokuletha: izindleko eziphakeme eziqhubekayo zezinto ezisetshenziswayo njengoba isilinganiso sikadizili singu-184.99p ilitha ngalinye.
• Abasabalalisi bokudla nabathengisi: bangase babhekane nezindleko eziphakeme zokuthutha uma amanani aphezulu kaphethiloli eqhubeka.
• Imindeni: ingcindezi engaba khona kamuva emananini okudla nasezimpahleni ezilethwayo lapho abahlinzeki bedlulisela izindleko kunokuba bazimunce.
• Uhulumeni wase-UK: ukuhlehlisa ukwenyuka okuhleliwe ngo-5p kwentela kaphethiloli kuze kube sekupheleni kukaDisemba kugwema ukwengeza leyo nkokhiso ngesikhathi sokwenyuka kwamanje.
• Ukuqiniseka: kuphezulu ngamanani amanje epompeni nangomthelela oqondile ezindlekweni zamaqoqo ezimoto; kuphakathi nendawo ngokudluliselwa kwezindleko zokuthutha; kuphansi kunoma yisiphi isilinganiso sokwenyuka kwamanani emnothweni wonke ngaphandle kwedatha yamanani ezolandela.

Izimo ezingaba khona

• Okungenzeka kakhulu: amanani epompeni aqhubeka ekhombisa inkathi yakamuva yamanani aphezulu kawoyela ongahluziwe uma i-Brent ihlala iseduze kwamazinga amanje phakathi nesikhathi sokulibaziseka esicishe sibe amasonto amabili. Izilinganiso ezilandelayo ze-RAC zizonikeza ukuhlolwa okucace kakhulu.
• Okungcono: ingcindezi iyadamba uma ukuphazamiseka kokuhlinzekwa kwehla futhi i-Brent yehla ngaphambi kokuba izindleko eziningi zemakethe yezitolo ezinkulu zifinyelele eziteshini zokugcwalisa. Ukwehla okuqhubekayo kwentengo kawoyela ongahluziwe nasezilinganisweni ze-RAC kungasekela lesi simo.
• Okubi: okunye ukwenyuka kwentengo kawoyela ongahluziwe kukhuphula izindleko epompeni nezokuthutha kwezentengiselwano, kulandelwe ingcindezi ebanzi yamanani uma abathwali nabahlinzeki bedlulisela lezo zindleko. Izinkokhiso ezengeziwe zikaphethiloli, izinhlolovo zamabhizinisi nokwenyuka kwamanani okudla noma ezimpahla kungaqinisa lesi simo.

Okufanele kubhekwe ngokulandelayo

Bheka izilinganiso ze-RAC zikaphethiloli nodizili, uwoyela ongahluziwe i-Brent, kanye nentuthuko ethinta ukuhlinzekwa kukawoyela waseMpumalanga Ephakathi. Ngomthelela ezindlekweni zokuphila, bheka izinkokhiso zikaphethiloli zabathwali, izinhlolovo zamabhizinisi ze-ONS, amanani abakhiqizi, ukwenyuka kwamanani okudla negalelo lezokuthutha ku-CPI. Lezi zinkomba zizobonisa ukuthi ukwenyuka kusalokhu kuyindaba yamanani epompeni ikakhulukazi yini noma sekudlulela emananini ezimpahla ezilethwayo. Usuku olulandelayo lwenqubomgomo olwaziwayo ukuphela kukaDisemba, lapho ukwenyuka okuhlehlisiwe ngo-5p kwentela kaphethiloli kufanele kubhekwe kabusha.